Australia · data to Jun qtr 2026

Is pay keeping up?

Bad.

Prices are rising faster than pay (-0.7% a year), so most workers are going backwards.

For context: -0.7% is lower than 85% of all 112 figures since 1998.

Pay growth minus inflation

Above zero means pay is rising faster than prices

-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%2010201520202025Keeping pacePeak 2.6%Now -0.7%
-6%-4%-2%0%2%4%20102020Keeping pacePeak 2.6%Now -0.7%

The strip under the chart shows the verdict each period would get by today's rules:Good Mixed Bad

See the latest numbers
Pay growth minus inflation, most recent first
PeriodValueVerdict
Jun qtr 2026-0.7%Bad
Mar qtr 2026-0.9%Bad
Dec qtr 2025-0.2%Bad
Sep qtr 20250.1%Mixed
Jun qtr 20251.3%Good
Mar qtr 20251.1%Good
Dec qtr 20240.8%Mixed
Sep qtr 20240.7%Mixed
Jun qtr 20240.3%Mixed
Mar qtr 20240.4%Mixed
Dec qtr 20230.2%Mixed
Sep qtr 2023-1.3%Bad

Download the full series (CSV)

Source: ABS, Wage Price Index minus Consumer Price Index, annual % change · Series ABS WPI 3.THRPEB.7.TOT.20.AUS.Q minus CPI (RBA GCPIAGYP, then ABS monthly CPI averaged by quarter) · Latest Jun qtr 2026

How we judged this

What we test: The latest figure (pay growth minus inflation). Right now that's -0.7%.

  1. Good if 1.0% or more
  2. Mixed if from 0.0% to under 1.0%
  3. Bad if anything the rules above don’t coverapplies now

Rules are checked from the top. The first one that fits decides the verdict.

Read the full method

About this data

Measure
Pay growth minus inflation
Latest
-0.7% (Jun qtr 2026)
Published
Quarterly, by ABS
Verdict counts for
Equal weight with the others in the overall verdict

Calculated as annual Wage Price Index growth minus annual inflation for the same quarter.

Inflation uses the quarterly CPI where it exists, and the average of the three monthly CPI readings in the quarter after that.

Download the data (CSV)

The rest of the picture