United Kingdom · data to Q2 2026

Is the economy growing?

OK.

Output per head grew 1.0% over the year. Growing, but only just once you count each person.

For context: 1.0% is lower than 70% of all 282 figures since 1956.

GDP per head, year on year

Real economic output divided by population

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%2010201520202025No growthPeak 25.0%Now 1.0%
-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%20102020No growthPeak 25.0%Now 1.0%

The strip under the chart shows the verdict each period would get by today's rules:Good OK Bad

See the latest numbers
GDP per head, year on year, most recent first
PeriodValueVerdict
Q2 20261.0%OK
Q1 20260.7%OK
Q4 20250.6%OK
Q3 20250.9%OK
Q2 20251.0%OK
Q1 20251.3%OK
Q4 20241.3%OK
Q3 20240.4%OK
Q2 2024-0.2%Bad
Q1 2024-0.9%Bad
Q4 2023-1.6%Bad
Q3 2023-1.1%Bad

Download the full series (CSV)

Source: ONS, Gross domestic product per head, chained volume measure, seasonally adjusted, annual % change · Series IHXW (PN2) · Latest Q2 2026

How we judged this

What we test: The latest figure (GDP per head, year on year). Right now that's 1.0%.

  1. Good if 1.5% or more
  2. OK if from 0.0% to under 1.5%applies now
  3. Bad if anything the rules above don’t cover

Rules are checked from the top. The first one that fits decides the verdict.

Read the full method

About this data

Measure
GDP per head, year on year
Latest
1.0% (Q2 2026)
Published
Quarterly, by ONS
Verdict counts for
Equal weight with the others in the overall verdict

We use GDP per head because a growing population can make the economy bigger without anyone being better off.

Download the data (CSV)

The rest of the picture