United States · data to Q2 2026

Is the economy growing?

Good.

Output per person grew 1.9% over the year. The economy is growing faster than the population.

For context: 1.9% is around the middle of all 314 figures since 1948.

GDP per person, year over year

Real economic output divided by population

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%2010201520202025No growthPeak 12.4%Now 1.9%
-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20102020No growthPeak 12.4%Now 1.9%

The strip under the chart shows the verdict each period would get by today's rules:Good Mixed Bad

See the latest numbers
GDP per person, year over year, most recent first
PeriodValueVerdict
Q2 20261.9%Good
Q1 20262.3%Good
Q4 20251.6%Good
Q3 20252.1%Good
Q2 20251.8%Good
Q1 20251.6%Good
Q4 20241.8%Good
Q3 20242.0%Good
Q2 20242.3%Good
Q1 20242.0%Good
Q4 20232.5%Good
Q3 20232.3%Good

Download the full series (CSV)

Source: BEA, Real gross domestic product per capita, annual % change, via FRED · Series A939RX0Q048SBEA · Latest Q2 2026

How we judged this

What we test: The latest figure (GDP per person, year over year). Right now that's 1.9%.

  1. Good if 1.5% or moreapplies now
  2. Mixed if from 0.0% to under 1.5%
  3. Bad if anything the rules above don’t cover

Rules are checked from the top. The first one that fits decides the verdict.

Read the full method

About this data

Measure
GDP per person, year over year
Latest
1.9% (Q2 2026)
Published
Quarterly, by BEA
Verdict counts for
Equal weight with the others in the overall verdict

We divide by population because a growing population can make the economy bigger without anyone being better off.

Download the data (CSV)

The rest of the picture